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Research noteBT-2026-0231

You take the dividend drop without the dividend

Premium-index funding on crypto equity perpetuals cannot pay a dividend, and one venue's design moves it to another.

2 minAlgorithmic & AI TradingFresh · 19 Oct

Crypto venues increasingly list perpetual futures on equities and other real-world assets. They trade continuously while referencing stocks that pay dividends, and the paper states the consequence in a line: a long equity perpetual marked to the ex-dividend cash price bears the ex-dividend drop without receiving the dividend.

The question is whether the funding architecture those venues run can repair it. Premium-index funding is set from the contemporaneous basis — the difference between the perpetual price and the spot price — rather than from a carry target. The authors ask whether such funding can replicate shareholder cash flows for traders entering and exiting at arbitrary times, and conclude that it cannot.

The reason is structural rather than a matter of calibration. Funding performs two jobs that coincide for non-dividend crypto assets and come apart for equities: controlling the basis, and settlement. The obstruction the authors identify is measure-theoretic. A predictable dividend is an atom, and no absolutely continuous funding path can replicate an atom over a holding interval, even in the weak limit, so fairness has to match an atom with an atom — an explicit event credit rather than a smooth adjustment.

Exchange-native data supports the argument. At each covered ex-date one venue posts a discrete funding atom equal to minus D over Mark minus D, while a standard premium-index venue posts none, which transfers the dividend across venues from native funding alone, with no external spot involved. The paper also gives a fair-funding identity, casts timing fairness as an optimal-stopping condition, and characterises when the basis is a sufficient statistic for the fair target.

Retold from arXiv. This is a summary in our own words; follow the link for the original reporting.

Questions

Why does a long equity perpetual lose the dividend?
Because it is marked to the ex-dividend cash price. The position bears the price drop that occurs when the stock goes ex-dividend, while the dividend itself goes to the shareholder rather than to the holder of the perpetual.
Can funding payments replace the dividend?
Not under premium-index funding set from the contemporaneous basis. The paper argues that a predictable dividend is an atom, and that no absolutely continuous funding path can replicate an atom, so a fair design needs a discrete event credit instead.

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